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Joseph Hosler

Joseph Hosler

Insights

The Gambling Habits of the Capuchin Monkey

Behavioral economics is a well researched field of study and one we find important as it pertains to acting as a fiduciary and a steward of capital.  In this newsletter, we reflect on recent research into this topic and attempt to blend it with recent market actions hitting the globe

15 Jun 2015

Insights

A Momentous Mistake?

Determining the characteristics of superior investing is not a new idea. We hazard a guess that since the first dollar went into the public markets, individuals have spent considerable effort determining short cuts and tricks to identify the items that drive outperformance. Within the modern investment world, both academic and

16 May 2015

Insights

Confidence Without Conviction

"Equity investing is about what could happen, not what has" - Michael Goldstein We have highlighted on many occasions the three facets of investing that most impact performance: market participation, asset allocation, and cost.  We can further segment costs into three areas: * Direct costs of management fees and investment

16 Mar 2015

Insights

Old Habits Die Hard

"A person saving for retirement who chooses low-cost investments could have a standard of living throughout retirement more than 20% higher than that of a comparable investor in high-cost investments."   - William Sharpe Mutual funds that rely on stock-based investing where once a great idea. However,

15 Sep 2014

Insights

Monsters and Shadows

"And the wild things roared their terrible roars and gnashed their terrible teeth and rolled their terrible eyes and showed their terrible claws."   - Where the Wild Things Are Inflation, and our fear of it, is a highly debated topic these days.  It is worthy of attention given the

15 Aug 2014

Insights

Frog Stew

"The boiling frog story is a wide spread anecdote describing a frog slowly being boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is placed in boiling water, it will jump out, but if it is placed in cold water that is slowly heated, it will not perceive the

03 Jul 2014

Insights

Looking for a Coconut Chef

Interviewer: "if you were to be stranded on an island and could have three people join you, who would they be?" (Expecting the answer to include one or more of George Washington, Albert Einstein, Great Grandfather, Barack Obama, Francis Bacon or the Dalai Lama) Lengthy Pause. Interviewee: "

15 May 2014

Insights

When Correlations Go To One

"An approximate answer to the right problem is worth a good deal more than an exact answer to an approximate problem."-- John Tukey Most financial professionals preach the positives of diversification.  They promote it as much for risk mitigation as they do for obtaining superior returns.  During prior

05 May 2014

Insights

Seven Deadly Sins: All in moderation.

The greatest deception men suffer is from their own opinions. -     Leonardo da Vinci What better idea than to bring up the Seven Deadly Sins during the holidays?  In our constant need to Google everything, absorbing as much data as possible, we came across this graphic created by a Jennifer Hagey.

31 Dec 2013

Insights

Horse, with a Side of Bacon - November Newsletter

"Nature, to be commanded, must be obeyed" One quote, two stories, and then the point to this newletter. This quote from Sir Francis Bacon sticks in our minds a lot these days. It fits so many situations as we see numerous examples of people putting their intentions before

12 Nov 2013

Insights

Shedding Light on Reality - October Newsletter

"Half a century of analysis has yet to fully answer why investors place such a large proportion of their funds with active equity managers, given the discouraging evidence on the latter's ability to add net value" * Rotman International Journal of Pension Management With this being our

17 Oct 2013

Research

Utilities: Unsustainable Dividends?

There comes a time when it is important to step back and take a deeper look at the fundamentals of a company or industry rather than just bask in the glow of its historical stock performance.  For Utilities, now is that time.  With the XLU nearing all time highs, holding

09 Jul 2013
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Auour Thoughts

Thoughts, stories and ideas.

Auour Thoughts

Thoughts, stories and ideas.

Auour Thoughts
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