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Joseph Hosler

Joseph Hosler

Insights

Justified Concerns

Over the course of this year, concerns within global financial markets have been forming.  Our past few newsletters have discussed the events resulting in us being conservative throughout the summer.  Those concerns are not receding at this point, even as the equity markets have recovered.  Therefore, we maintain a defensive

22 Nov 2015

Insights

In the words of Ron Burgandy “Boy, that escalated quickly.”

“This is not a crisis, its turbulence.”  - Fauzi Ichsan, Head of the Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corp The time between our last newsletter and today feels like an eternity, yet is only 30 days.  In that time, we have witnessed a dramatic increase in market volatility (a swift fall followed by

15 Sep 2015

Insights

Greece Who?

China recently elected to devalue their currency causing volatility in most global markets. One benefit of this event was that it removed Greece from the headlines. Although our belief was that too much attention was being placed on Greece and its implications for the European Union, it was welcome to

19 Aug 2015

Insights

The Gambling Habits of the Capuchin Monkey

Behavioral economics is a well researched field of study and one we find important as it pertains to acting as a fiduciary and a steward of capital.  In this newsletter, we reflect on recent research into this topic and attempt to blend it with recent market actions hitting the globe

15 Jun 2015

Insights

A Momentous Mistake?

Determining the characteristics of superior investing is not a new idea. We hazard a guess that since the first dollar went into the public markets, individuals have spent considerable effort determining short cuts and tricks to identify the items that drive outperformance. Within the modern investment world, both academic and

16 May 2015

Insights

Confidence Without Conviction

"Equity investing is about what could happen, not what has" - Michael Goldstein We have highlighted on many occasions the three facets of investing that most impact performance: market participation, asset allocation, and cost.  We can further segment costs into three areas: * Direct costs of management fees and investment

16 Mar 2015

Insights

Old Habits Die Hard

"A person saving for retirement who chooses low-cost investments could have a standard of living throughout retirement more than 20% higher than that of a comparable investor in high-cost investments."   - William Sharpe Mutual funds that rely on stock-based investing where once a great idea. However,

15 Sep 2014

Insights

Monsters and Shadows

"And the wild things roared their terrible roars and gnashed their terrible teeth and rolled their terrible eyes and showed their terrible claws."   - Where the Wild Things Are Inflation, and our fear of it, is a highly debated topic these days.  It is worthy of attention given the

15 Aug 2014

Insights

Frog Stew

"The boiling frog story is a wide spread anecdote describing a frog slowly being boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is placed in boiling water, it will jump out, but if it is placed in cold water that is slowly heated, it will not perceive the

03 Jul 2014

Insights

Looking for a Coconut Chef

Interviewer: "if you were to be stranded on an island and could have three people join you, who would they be?" (Expecting the answer to include one or more of George Washington, Albert Einstein, Great Grandfather, Barack Obama, Francis Bacon or the Dalai Lama) Lengthy Pause. Interviewee: "

15 May 2014

Insights

When Correlations Go To One

"An approximate answer to the right problem is worth a good deal more than an exact answer to an approximate problem."-- John Tukey Most financial professionals preach the positives of diversification.  They promote it as much for risk mitigation as they do for obtaining superior returns.  During prior

05 May 2014

Insights

Seven Deadly Sins: All in moderation.

The greatest deception men suffer is from their own opinions. -     Leonardo da Vinci What better idea than to bring up the Seven Deadly Sins during the holidays?  In our constant need to Google everything, absorbing as much data as possible, we came across this graphic created by a Jennifer Hagey.

31 Dec 2013
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Auour Thoughts

Thoughts, stories and ideas.

Auour Thoughts

Thoughts, stories and ideas.

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