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Joseph Hosler

Joseph Hosler

Insights

Negative Interest Rates: Unintended Consequences

Historically, many countries have centralized their economies in an effort to improve productivity, raise living standards, and increase economic growth. In reality, the opposite has often occurred, resulting in stagnant economies and falling standards of living.  Conversely, history demonstrates that creating increasingly open and fair markets activates economic potential that

By Joseph Hosler 16 Jun 2016

Insights

Investment Timing is Everything

The lesson this month is that investment timing is important.  Not just a little, but a lot.  But let's first start with an analogy. This past week a Toyota Tundra pickup barreled into our office space during work hours, laying waste to all contents.  Thankfully, no employees were

By Joseph Hosler 23 May 2016

Insights

Absorbing Shocks

Increased volatility and lower market prices have led commentators to wonder if this is a correction, the start of a major bear market, or just a bear (cub) market.  However, with U.S. equity markets down in excess of 15% over a very short timeframe, discussing the names that characterize

By Joseph Hosler 17 Feb 2016

Insights

Owning Passive ETF’s Doesn’t Make You Passive

Within the investment industry, there is an ongoing debate on passive versus active investing.  Vanguard has been one of the more vocal participants at evaluating active managers and the consequences of stock-based investment strategies.  Our own research into the matter confirms Vanguard’s hypothesis.  Most managers that claim themselves to

By Joseph Hosler 21 Dec 2015

Insights

Justified Concerns

Over the course of this year, concerns within global financial markets have been forming.  Our past few newsletters have discussed the events resulting in us being conservative throughout the summer.  Those concerns are not receding at this point, even as the equity markets have recovered.  Therefore, we maintain a defensive

By Joseph Hosler 22 Nov 2015

Insights

In the words of Ron Burgandy “Boy, that escalated quickly.”

“This is not a crisis, its turbulence.”  - Fauzi Ichsan, Head of the Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corp The time between our last newsletter and today feels like an eternity, yet is only 30 days.  In that time, we have witnessed a dramatic increase in market volatility (a swift fall followed

By Joseph Hosler 15 Sep 2015

Insights

Greece Who?

China recently elected to devalue their currency causing volatility in most global markets. One benefit of this event was that it removed Greece from the headlines. Although our belief was that too much attention was being placed on Greece and its implications for the European Union, it was welcome to

By Joseph Hosler 19 Aug 2015

Insights

The Gambling Habits of the Capuchin Monkey

Behavioral economics is a well researched field of study and one we find important as it pertains to acting as a fiduciary and a steward of capital.  In this newsletter, we reflect on recent research into this topic and attempt to blend it with recent market actions hitting the globe

By Joseph Hosler 15 Jun 2015

Insights

A Momentous Mistake?

Determining the characteristics of superior investing is not a new idea. We hazard a guess that since the first dollar went into the public markets, individuals have spent considerable effort determining short cuts and tricks to identify the items that drive outperformance. Within the modern investment world, both academic and

By Joseph Hosler 16 May 2015

Insights

Confidence Without Conviction

"Equity investing is about what could happen, not what has" - Michael Goldstein We have highlighted on many occasions the three facets of investing that most impact performance: market participation, asset allocation, and cost.  We can further segment costs into three areas: * Direct costs of management fees and

By Joseph Hosler 16 Mar 2015

Insights

Old Habits Die Hard

"A person saving for retirement who chooses low-cost investments could have a standard of living throughout retirement more than 20% higher than that of a comparable investor in high-cost investments."   - William Sharpe Mutual funds that rely on stock-based investing where once a great idea. However, this investment

By Joseph Hosler 15 Sep 2014

Insights

Monsters and Shadows

"And the wild things roared their terrible roars and gnashed their terrible teeth and rolled their terrible eyes and showed their terrible claws."   - Where the Wild Things Are Inflation, and our fear of it, is a highly debated topic these days.  It is worthy of attention given

By Joseph Hosler 15 Aug 2014
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Auour Thoughts

Thoughts, stories and ideas.